After a big DFS week 1 for me, I didn’t do a top-5 in Week 2 and fell flat. Obviously preparing this forces me to pick out the best-of-the-best not only for you, but also (especially) for me… OK, I really just wrote this for myself… Don’t read…
Adrian Peterson comes in as the most expensive RB on both FanDuel and DraftKings this week, and he will be well worth the price. When offensive coordinator, Norv Turner, signed with the Vikings last year, the first thing he did was circle this date on his calendar (that’s right, even before the schedules came out). How does he plan on welcoming his former team to Minnesota? With heavy doses of the most dangerous player in the game. Adrian Peterson has cleaned off the rust in his first two games and is ready to carry the load against the 8th worst run defense so far this year. Giovani Bernard ran all over the Chargers, look for Peterson to do even more damage. There is literally no ceiling to how big Peterson can be this weekend.
Antonio Brown seems like another obvious pick (I know, I’m not exactly going out on a limb this week), but he might be as undervalued as anyone. Until his price corrects, which might be 2x the salary of the next highest player, keep plugging him in your lineups as a lock every week. To put it into perspective, do you know what was happening the last time Antonio Brown had less than 5 catches in a game? For starters, the aforementioned Norv Turner was coaching the Chargers. Mike Wallace was still with the Steelers. And Gangnam Style was the newest craze in music.
Brandon Weeden will lead the Cowboys this week against the Falcons, and if you are looking for a bargain player (which you might need after plugging in two of the most expensive players for the week in your lineup) Brandon Weeden can lead your DFS team. The Falcons have allowed a healthy 23 fantasy points/game to opposing QB’s, and armed with the best offensive line on the planet, Weeden should be afforded plenty of time to pick apart the Falcons’ secondary. Before you think the Cowboys are “just going to run it”, note that the team’s yards per carry have dropped from 4.6 yards/carry in 2014, to 3.4 yards/carry so far this young season (I’m not sure what’s changed). If you are looking for a contrarian stack with Weeden for large GPP’s, consider Lance Dunbar – as the Cowboys have struggled moving the ball on the ground, Dunbar’s role has increased dramatically this season. Additionally, no one has allowed more catches or receiving yards to RB’s through the first two contests than the Atlanta Falcons.
Isaiah Crowell is another bargain player you can add to your lineups so you can afford the top-priced players this week. ** flashback~ in 2012 I drafted Doug Martin to my fantasy team. 5 weeks in I trade him in what would be the worst fantasy trade of my life. And on November 4th, 2012 Martin has one of the best fantasy days for a RB in recent history putting up 272 yards and 4 TD’s on the Oakland Raiders. I remember it vividly. ~end flashback** In 2012 the Raiders finished 5th in most fantasy points allowed to RB’s. In 2013 they finished 5th again. In 2014 they stepped it up and finished 1st. And in 2015 they are currently 4th in most points allowed to RB’s. The more things change, the more they stay the same, and I do not want to miss out on the next huge RB performance vs the Raiders. After a solid outing vs. the Titans, look for Crowell to put up the first 100-yard game of his career this weekend as the Browns run, run, and run some more. The Cleveland Defense should also match up well against the Raiders, making Crowell a good stack with his Defense.
The Seattle Seahawks DST rounds out my top-5. I really didn’t want to put a Defense in my top-5, but after looking into it I couldn’t avoid it. There are a lot of good plays on defense this week, but don’t overlook the most obvious play. Chicago has allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing Defenses this season and the injuries are piling up fast as Jimmy Clausen leads the Bears into Seattle. Seattle is off to an 0-2 start with a somewhat pedestrian defense, and in much need of a statement game in their home opener. Kam Chancellor is back with the team, the 12th-man will be as loud as ever, and a shutout doesn’t even seem out of the question this weekend. Adding fuel to the Special Teams fire, the Bears have allowed the most kickoff return yards this year, and the Seahawks’ young kick-returner, Tyler Lockett, has been one bright spot in the team’s 0-2 start. The Seahawks are as good a bet as anyone to have a return TD this weekend on top of a devastating Defense. Don’t go cheap on DST this weekend, and be sure to get the Seahawks in a strong percent of your lineups.